AS 1052 · HNL → ITO

departs 12:18 PM HT · arrives 1:14 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ITO?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 2.1 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ 12pm departures from HNL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip2.08 in

ITO (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1052 · HNL → ITO

Odds over time

How late will it get to ITO?