AS 1065 · OGG → HNL

departs 9:45 AM HT · arrives 10:27 AM HT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.9 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG

↓ 9am departures from OGG are usually not late

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.89 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1065 · OGG → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?