Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1072 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 1072 · HNL → ITO

departs 2:17 PM HT · arrives 3:13 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at ITO more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ITO?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ ITO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into ITO at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.26 in

ITO (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1072 · HNL → ITO

Odds over time

How late will it get to ITO?