AS 1131 · ITO → HNL

departs 8:41 PM HT · arrives 9:49 PM HT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late

↓ ITO usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ITO (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

HNL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1131 · ITO → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?