AS 1380 · ANC → SEA

departs 1:21 AM AKT · arrives 5:44 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 1am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1380 · ANC → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?