Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1473SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1473 · SAN → SEA
departs 6:18 AM PT · arrives 9:19 AM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%chance · ±0 pts−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.