AS 1552 · PDX → BUR

departs 10:58 AM PT · arrives 1:12 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUR?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from PDX are often late

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUR (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1552 · PDX → BUR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUR?