Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1561SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1561 · ANC → SFO
departs 12:23 PM AKT · arrives 6:06 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±0 pts+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.