Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1563 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow

AS 1563 · ANC → LAX

departs 11:33 PM AKT · arrives 5:53 AM PT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at ANC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1563 · ANC → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?