Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1639SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 1639 · SAN → TPA
departs 8:32 AM PT · arrives 4:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.