Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 205 LANDED 3:00 AM AKT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

AS 205 · SEA → ANC

took off 12:38 AM PT · landed 3:00 AM AKT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 18h after departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 12am departures from SEA are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 205 · SEA → ANC

Odds over time