Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2603 IN THE AIR (OFF 3:27 PM ET, ETA 4:29 PM CT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 2603 · CVG → IAH

took off 3:27 PM ET · expected to land 4:29 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from CVG are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2603 · CVG → IAH

Odds over time