Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 286 IN THE AIR (OFF 7:26 AM PT, ETA 3:17 PM ET)
Today

AS 286 · LAX → EWR

took off 7:26 AM PT · expected to land 3:17 PM ET (scheduled 7:03 AM PT → 3:14 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
35% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 1.1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    32%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.