AS 325 · ORD → PDX

departs 2:12 PM CT · arrives 4:47 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±1 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.93 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 325 · ORD → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?