AS 329 · ANC → PDX

departs 9:06 AM AKT · arrives 1:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at ANC that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ This flight has been late 9% of the time recently

↓ 9am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.16 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 329 · ANC → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?