Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 353 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 353 · PDX → OGG

took off 3:09 PM PT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 2:45 PM PT → 5:35 PM HT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at OGG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to OGG?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OGG is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 2pm departures from PDX are often late

↓ This flight has been late 11% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OGG (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 353 · PDX → OGG

Odds over time

How late will it get to OGG?