Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 373 IN THE AIR (OFF 9:20 AM ET, ETA 11:34 AM PT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 373 · EWR → SEA

took off 9:20 AM ET · expected to land 11:34 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 373 · EWR → SEA

Odds over time