AS 403 · JNU → ANC

departs 5:48 PM AKDT · arrives 7:42 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ANC?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.27 in

ANC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 403 · JNU → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?