AS 412 · PIT → SEA

took off 6:45 PM ET · expected to land 8:21 PM PT (scheduled 6:10 PM ET → 8:30 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

LIVE

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from PIT are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 412 · PIT → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?