Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 430 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:04 AM PT, ETA 6:19 PM ET)
Today

AS 430 · SAN → RDU

took off 11:04 AM PT · expected to land 6:19 PM ET (scheduled 10:11 AM PT → 5:56 PM ET)
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
92% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    8%
  2. 15–30 min late
    46%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    45%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.