AS 452 · PDX → SEA

departs 9:30 PM PT · arrives 10:26 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
33%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 452 · PDX → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?