AS 512 · MCI → PDX

took off 2:55 PM CT · landed 4:06 PM PT (scheduled 2:57 PM CT → 4:34 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PDX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCI that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 2pm departures from MCI are often late

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,620 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.59 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 512 · MCI → PDX

Odds over time

How late did it get to PDX?