Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 518 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:45 AM PT, ETA 1:26 PM HT)
Today

AS 518 · SEA → KOA

took off 10:45 AM PT · expected to land 1:26 PM HT (scheduled 9:59 AM PT → 1:07 PM HT)
Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at KOA more than 15 minutes late?
82% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 1.0d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to KOA?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    18%
  2. 15–30 min late
    54%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    28%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.