AS 534 · GEG → SEA

took off 6:03 AM PT · landed 6:48 AM PT (scheduled 5:52 AM PT → 6:59 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from GEG are usually not late

Weather at each end

GEG (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 534 · GEG → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?