Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 556 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 556 · SEA → OMA

departs 6:47 PM PT · arrives 11:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at OMA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OMA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at OMA that day

↑ 6pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OMA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 556 · SEA → OMA

Odds over time

How late will it get to OMA?