Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 619 SCHEDULED

Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow

AS 619 · SEA → SFO

departs 6:36 PM PT · arrives 8:48 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 27h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±2 pts +23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.01 in

SFO (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 619 · SEA → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?