AS 66 · ANC → CDV

took off 1:55 PM AKT · landed 2:29 PM AKT (scheduled 1:17 PM AKT → 2:11 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at CDV more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CDV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at CDV that day

↑ Other factors

↓ 1pm departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ CDV usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.36 in

CDV (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 66 · ANC → CDV

Odds over time

How late did it get to CDV?