AS 66 · YAK → JNU

departs 4:47 PM AKDT · arrives 5:40 PM AKDT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at JNU more than 15 minutes late?

69% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JNU?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at YAK that day

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ JNU usually runs smoothly

↓ 4pm departures from YAK are usually not late

Weather at each end

YAK (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.50 in

JNU (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 66 · YAK → JNU

Odds over time

How late will it get to JNU?