AS 684 · DEN → PDX

departs 12:02 PM MT · arrives 1:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 12pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 684 · DEN → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?