AS 7005 · JNU → SIT

took off 7:06 AM AKDT · landed 7:30 AM AKDT (scheduled 7:07 AM AKDT → 7:59 AM AKDT)

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SIT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SIT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SIT that day

↑ 0.5 in of rain forecast at JNU that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SIT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JNU (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.48 in

SIT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.96 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · JNU → SIT

Odds over time

How late did it get to SIT?