Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 7005 LANDED 12:55 PM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

AS 7005 · KTN → SEA

took off 10:19 AM AKDT · landed 12:55 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ KTN usually runs smoothly

↓ 10am departures from KTN are usually not late

Weather at each end

KTN (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.25 in

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7005 · KTN → SEA

Odds over time