AS 717 · SEA → LGB

took off 12:44 PM PT · expected to land 2:51 PM PT (scheduled 11:40 AM PT → 2:10 PM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at LGB more than 15 minutes late?

100% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LGB?

LIVE

On time or early
<1%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
87%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGB (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 717 · SEA → LGB

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGB?