Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 782 LANDED 6:14 AM PT, ~3 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30 Yesterday

AS 782 · BOI → PDX

took off 6:17 AM MT · landed 6:14 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PDX at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOI (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PDX (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 782 · BOI → PDX

Odds over time