Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Wednesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 78 LANDED 9:04 AM PT, ~34 MIN EARLY

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 78 · PIT → SEA

took off 7:08 AM ET · landed 9:04 AM PT (scheduled 7:30 AM ET → 9:49 AM PT)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at PIT that day

↓ PIT usually runs smoothly

↓ 7am departures from PIT are usually not late

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 78 · PIT → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?