Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 956 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, September 30 Today

AS 956 · LIH → SJC

departs 10:48 AM HT · arrives 6:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SJC?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at LIH that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ 10am departures from LIH are usually not late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts34 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.87 in

SJC (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 956 · LIH → SJC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJC?