AS 9663 · ANC → SCC

departs 10:41 AM AKT · arrives 12:33 PM AKT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at SCC more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SCC?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of snow forecast at SCC that day

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↓ Arrivals into SCC at that hour are usually not late

↓ 10am departures from ANC are usually not late

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.28 in

SCC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9663 · ANC → SCC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SCC?