AS 9665 · ANC → SCC

took off 2:08 PM AKT · expected to land 3:31 PM AKT (scheduled 2:05 PM AKT → 3:58 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SCC more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SCC?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SCC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ANC that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 12% of the time recently

↓ SCC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.53 in

SCC (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 9665 · ANC → SCC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SCC?