Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1285 LANDED 7:54 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

B6 1285 · ROC → JFK

took off 7:06 AM ET · landed 7:54 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ROC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1285 · ROC → JFK

Odds over time