B6 1487 · BOS → LAX

departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 2:09 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at LAX that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1487 · BOS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?