Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 151 LANDED 9:52 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

B6 151 · BOS → SRQ

took off 7:12 AM ET · landed 9:52 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

SRQ (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip4.49 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 151 · BOS → SRQ

Odds over time