B6 1553 · FLL → SJU

departs 10:10 AM ET · arrives 12:48 PM AT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SJU?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.71 in

SJU (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1553 · FLL → SJU

Odds over time

How late will it get to SJU?