Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1577 LANDED 9:23 AM PT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Wednesday, September 30

B6 1577 · BOS → LAS

took off 7:19 AM ET · landed 9:23 AM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

LAS (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1577 · BOS → LAS

Odds over time