Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 16
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
B6 16 · SFO → JFK
departs 8:25 PM PT · arrives 5:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 22%
Fri 10/2 25%
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.