B6 1800 · FLL → ORF

departs 8:32 PM ET · arrives 10:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ 8pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.36 in

ORF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1800 · FLL → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?