B6 1823 · FLL → MSY

departs 2:38 PM ET · arrives 3:43 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

MSY (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1823 · FLL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?