B6 1859 · BOS → PHL

departs 1:25 PM ET · arrives 3:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,283 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling4,583 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 1859 · BOS → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?