B6 2251 · BOS → MCO

departs 1:44 PM ET · arrives 5:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ B6's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.02 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

B6 2251 · BOS → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?