Schedule: a typical summer Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 228
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30
B6 228 · SJU → MCO
departs 6:48 PM AT · arrives 9:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Wed 9/30
Today 56%
Mon 10/5 39%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.07 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.