Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2783
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Today
B6 2783 · BOS → RDU
departs 8:54 PM ET · arrives 10:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/1 41%
Fri 10/2 50%
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 43%
Tue 10/6 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
2.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RDU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDU?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
RDU (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.