Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 433
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, September 30 Tomorrow
B6 433 · MCO → SJU
departs 11:05 PM ET · arrives 2:05 AM AT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Wed 9/30
Thu 10/1 23%
Fri 10/2 21%
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
2.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at SJU that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Wednesdays in September are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.